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Melbourne Cricket Ground · Sunday, 4 January 2026

Melbourne Renegades won by 4 wicketsPlayer of the match: J Brown

Match preview

Renegades chase down 174 at the MCG to beat Stars by 4 wickets

Match overview

Melbourne Renegades beat Melbourne Stars by 4 wickets in a BBL T20 at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on 4 January 2026. Stars set a target of 174 after posting 173/9 from their 20 overs, a total that fell below the MCG's average first-innings score of 205. Renegades reached 177/6 in reply, with J Brown named Player of the Match. The result snaps a run of three defeats in four meetings for the Renegades against their city rivals.

The Renegades' innings was built on an excellent powerplay. They scored 58 runs for 1 wicket in the opening six overs, nearly double the MCG's powerplay average of 35 runs. The middle overs continued the momentum: 73 runs for just 1 wicket across overs 7 to 15 put the chase comfortably on track. The final phase was scratchier. Four wickets fell in the death for 46 runs, tightening a game that had looked well in hand. The Renegades crossed the line, but the Stars showed enough to make it uncomfortable.

For the Stars, their 173/9 was always likely to be a challenging total to defend given the MCG's batting history. They bowled back into the contest at the death, but the damage done by the Renegades in the middle overs proved too great to undo.

Venue and conditions

The Melbourne Cricket Ground is the largest venue on the BBL circuit and one of the most data-rich T20 grounds in the world. Across 155 T20 matches, the average first-innings score sits at 205 and the average second-innings score at 190. Both sides in this match fell short of those benchmarks, suggesting the pitch offered more assistance to the bowlers than is typical.

Toss dynamics at the MCG lean modestly towards fielding first. Teams win the toss and choose to field 54% of the time, and the ground's chase success rate of 56% justifies that instinct. Melbourne Renegades won the toss and elected to field, a straightforward call given those numbers. The average death-overs figure of 30 runs per innings makes the Stars' 62 death-over runs look useful, though it wasn't enough to build a total the bowlers could defend.

Dew can be a factor at the MCG for evening fixtures, and it tends to make the ball harder to grip in the second innings, which can aid batters chasing. That broader context is worth keeping in mind when interpreting the Renegades' powerplay output.

How to watch

BBL matches are broadcast in the UK on Sky Sports Cricket. You can stream through Sky Go on a device or take out a day pass via NOW TV without a full subscription. Coverage typically begins around 30-45 minutes before the first ball, with commentary and pre-match analysis included.

For fans who prefer radio, BBC Radio 5 Live Sports Extra occasionally carries Australian domestic cricket during the UK winter, though comprehensive BBL ball-by-ball commentary is primarily a Sky product. Check the Sky Sports schedule for upcoming Melbourne fixtures as both clubs have further games in the 2025-26 season.

Recent form

Melbourne Stars arrived at this fixture with a mixed run of recent results. They had lost to Brisbane Heat in their most recent BBL outing in 2026 but won four consecutive matches before that: against Sydney Thunder, Sydney Sixers, Adelaide Strikers, and Hobart Hurricanes. That sequence had made them one of the more consistent sides in the competition heading into the derby.

Melbourne Renegades' form was considerably shakier. Three defeats in their last three matches before this game, including back-to-back losses to Hobart Hurricanes and a defeat against Sydney Sixers in January 2026, pointed to a side that had struggled for consistency. Two wins over Brisbane Heat in late 2025 offered some encouragement, but this victory over the Stars will carry more weight given the head-to-head context and the calibre of the opposition. Whether they can build on it in the fixtures that follow will be the real test of whether this result represents a turning point.

Talking points

What to look out for

5 angles

Headline angle

Renegades win despite tough death overs

Melbourne Renegades reached 177/6 to overhaul Stars' 173/9, but the closing stages were far from comfortable. The Renegades managed only 46 runs in the death overs whilst losing 4 wickets, suggesting the Stars made a proper fight of it in the final few overs.

Angle 02

Stars below the MCG average first-innings score

The Melbourne Cricket Ground's average first-innings T20 score across 155 matches is 205. Stars' 173/9 fell 32 short of that benchmark, which made the chase achievable for the Renegades despite a venue that historically favours batting sides in the first innings.

Angle 03

Renegades' powerplay set the platform

Melbourne Renegades posted 58 runs for 1 wicket in the powerplay, well above the MCG's average powerplay figure of 35 runs. Losing only one wicket in that phase gave them a platform that the Stars, who took 2 wickets in their own 50-run powerplay, never quite matched.

Angle 04

Stars' head-to-head dominance ends here

Going into this fixture, Melbourne Stars led the head-to-head series 18 wins to 11 across 29 meetings. The Renegades had lost three of the last four contests between these sides, so this result interrupts what had become a reliable pattern of Stars superiority.

Angle 05

J Brown named Player of the Match

J Brown took the Player of the Match award for Melbourne Renegades. The individual performance was central to a chase that required composure through a nervy death period, with 4 wickets falling in the last phase before the Renegades crossed the line.

Context

Key insights

Historical · Not official

Venue par

205

Avg 1st innings score at MCG

155 matches · 2002–2025

Chase success

58%

Chases completed successfully at MCG

155 matches · 2002–2025

Powerplay

38/1.2

Average runs/wickets in overs 1–6 at MCG

Historical aggregates derived from Cricsheet (cricsheet.org) under ODC-BY licence. 2001/02–2026 IPL seasons. For editorial context only — not official live match data, not a forecast, and not betting advice. Projections and comparisons above are frozen from the live state and may not match final statistics.

The rivalry

Who could decide it

These two sides have met 29 times in the BBL, with Melbourne Stars holding a commanding lead of 18 wins to the Renegades' 11. Stars had won three of the previous four encounters between the clubs, including an 8-wicket win earlier in the 2025-26 season. This Renegades victory is only their second in the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

Last 5
  • 2026: Melbourne Stars won by 8 wickets at Docklands
  • 2025: Melbourne Stars won by 42 runs at Docklands
  • 2025: Melbourne Stars won by 5 wickets at MCG
  • 2024: Melbourne Renegades won by 6 wickets at Docklands
  • 2024: Melbourne Stars won by 8 wickets at MCG

Angles to watch

Analytical angles worth tracking

Observations from the venue data, recent form and historical trends. Editorial context, not betting advice.

  • Top batter markets may offer more analytical interest than outright result lines at the MCG, where the venue average of 205 first-innings runs suggests individual high scores are common.
  • Powerplay performance is historically significant at this ground, with the Renegades' 58/1 well exceeding the venue average of 35 powerplay runs. Markets around powerplay runs scored could be worth monitoring in future fixtures here.
  • With a chase success rate of 56% at the MCG across 155 T20 matches, second-innings targets around 174 sit right at the tipping point between likely and unlikely. In-play lines at venues like this tend to move quickly once early wickets fall.
  • Player of the Match markets in Melbourne derbies may be shaped by powerplay performance, given how influential the first six overs proved in this result.

For editorial context only. Not a forecast and not betting advice. 18+ only, please gamble responsibly.

Questions

Frequently asked

Melbourne Renegades won by 4 wickets at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. Chasing 174, they reached 177/6 with J Brown named Player of the Match.

Melbourne Stars posted 173/9 batting first, with 50 runs in the powerplay and 62 in the death overs. Melbourne Renegades replied with 177/6, scoring 58 in their powerplay before losing 4 wickets in the death for 46 runs.

Across 29 BBL meetings, Melbourne Stars lead 18 wins to 11. Prior to this match, Stars had won three of the last four encounters between the two sides.

BBL matches are broadcast in the UK on Sky Sports Cricket. You can stream via Sky Go or pick up a day pass through NOW TV if you are not a subscriber.

J Brown of Melbourne Renegades was awarded Player of the Match after his contribution to the Renegades' successful chase of 174.

Based on data from 155 T20 matches at the MCG, the team batting second wins 56% of the time. The average first-innings score at the ground is 205, making a target of 174 slightly below the historical norm.

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