LUCKYSPIRE
The HundredResult

Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Wednesday, 20 August 2025

Southern Brave won by 4 runsPlayer of the match: HWR Cartwright

Match preview

Southern Brave edge Welsh Fire by 4 runs in Cardiff thriller

Match overview

Southern Brave beat Welsh Fire by 4 runs at Sophia Gardens, Cardiff, on 20 August 2025. Brave posted a modest 129/8 from their 100 balls, a total that sat 44 runs below the ground's average first-innings score of 173. Welsh Fire's chase threatened to get there. A rapid powerplay of 50 runs gave the home side every reason for optimism. But the middle phase brought Welsh Fire's innings to a near standstill: 46 runs from 40 balls for the loss of 3 wickets. They needed 29 from the final phase and fell 4 short, finishing on 125/8. HWR Cartwright was named Player of the Match for Southern Brave.

For Welsh Fire, this was a match they looked odds-on to win at the halfway point of the chase. The Brave bowlers worked their way back into it in the middle overs, and despite Welsh Fire needing less than a run a ball at several stages, the total proved just out of reach.

Venue and conditions

Sophia Gardens has hosted 136 short-format matches and produces relatively high-scoring contests. The average first-innings score is 173 and the average second-innings score is 158, figures that made Brave's 129 look increasingly vulnerable once Welsh Fire's powerplay got going. The ground's average powerplay score of 46 runs was eclipsed in the second innings, where Welsh Fire hit 50, though their death-overs return of 29 runs was below the venue's average of 33 for that phase.

Teams winning the toss have chosen to field on 68% of occasions here, which aligns with Welsh Fire's decision to put Brave in. The chase success rate of 53% is almost neutral, meaning pitch conditions alone do not heavily favour either side. In practice, it is the phase splits that matter most at this ground, and the middle overs in this match were where the chase was effectively lost.

Welsh Fire won the toss and elected to field, a decision consistent with how most captains approach Sophia Gardens. Brave's early collapse to 19/2 in the powerplay appeared to justify that call, but the innings regrouped substantially. The death overs in Brave's innings produced 48 runs from 3 wickets, giving the bowlers a target that, while below average, was enough on the day.

How to watch

The Hundred is broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Cricket and BBC Two. Streaming is available via Sky Go and NOW TV for Sky subscribers. The BBC iPlayer carries BBC Two's coverage. BBC Radio Test Match Special provides ball-by-ball radio commentary for selected fixtures, including those at Sophia Gardens.

Recent form

Southern Brave came into this fixture on a mixed run: three consecutive defeats against Oval Invincibles, Trent Rockets, and Northern Superchargers preceded back-to-back wins over Birmingham Phoenix and Manchester Originals. The win over Welsh Fire gives Brave three wins from their last five, a position that keeps them competitive in the standings even as they head into the business end of the tournament.

Welsh Fire's recent record made for difficult reading. Four defeats from their previous four completed matches, against Oval Invincibles, London Spirit, and Northern Superchargers among them, with a single win over Manchester Originals providing the only relief. A home fixture against an opponent they have beaten just once in ten attempts was always going to test them. They gave it a genuine go, but the pattern of the rivalry held.

Talking points

What to look out for

5 angles

Headline angle

Brave win despite well-below-par total

Southern Brave posted 129/8, a score that sits 44 runs below Sophia Gardens' average first-innings score of 173. That Welsh Fire still couldn't get home underlines how much the chase unravelled in the middle phase, where the hosts managed only 46 runs for 3 wickets.

Angle 02

Powerplay contrast told the story

Welsh Fire's chase began brightly with 50 runs in the powerplay, comfortably above the ground's average of 46. But the run-rate dried up sharply thereafter. Southern Brave's own powerplay had limped to 19 runs for 2 wickets, yet they still won.

Angle 03

Cartwright named Player of the Match

HWR Cartwright took the Player of the Match award as Southern Brave defended a modest target. With the death overs yielding 48 runs in Brave's innings and just 29 in the chase, the match turned decisively in the final exchanges.

Angle 04

Southern Brave's head-to-head dominance continues

Brave have now won 8 of the 10 meetings between these sides, including back-to-back wins at Sophia Gardens in 2023 and 2024. Welsh Fire's solitary victory in the series remains their only triumph in this fixture.

Angle 05

Welsh Fire chasing struggles at home

Sophia Gardens has a chase success rate of 53% across 136 matches, marginally in favour of the chasing side. Welsh Fire nevertheless fell 4 runs short, finishing on 125/8 in a match that could easily have swung either way in the final few balls.

Context

Key insights

Historical · Not official

Venue par

173

Avg 1st innings score at Sophia Gardens

136 matches · 2005–2025

Chase success

53%

Chases completed successfully at Sophia Gardens

136 matches · 2005–2025

Powerplay

45/1.6

Average runs/wickets in overs 1–6 at Sophia Gardens

Historical aggregates derived from Cricsheet (cricsheet.org) under ODC-BY licence. 2001/02–2026 IPL seasons. For editorial context only — not official live match data, not a forecast, and not betting advice. Projections and comparisons above are frozen from the live state and may not match final statistics.

The rivalry

Who could decide it

Southern Brave hold a commanding record in this rivalry, winning 8 of the 10 meetings between the two sides. Welsh Fire have managed just one win, with one match producing no result. Three of the last four completed fixtures have been decided by single-digit margins or fewer than 10 wickets, suggesting the contests are increasingly tight even if the aggregate record flatters Brave.

Recent meetings

Last 5
  • 2025: Southern Brave won by 4 runs at Rose Bowl
  • 2024: No result at Rose Bowl
  • 2024: Southern Brave won by 42 runs at Sophia Gardens
  • 2023: Southern Brave won by 9 wickets at Sophia Gardens
  • 2023: Southern Brave won by 2 runs at Rose Bowl

Angles to watch

Analytical angles worth tracking

Observations from the venue data, recent form and historical trends. Editorial context, not betting advice.

  • In low-scoring matches at Sophia Gardens, top wicket-taker markets may offer more value than outright result lines, given how frequently games turn on one or two key spells.
  • Sophia Gardens has an average death-overs score of 33, yet Brave posted 48 in that phase. Death-overs run markets in similar conditions could be worth monitoring.
  • Welsh Fire's powerplay of 50 runs was well above the ground average of 46. Powerplay-run markets at this venue historically trend lower than bettors might expect based on recent fixtures.
  • With eight wins from ten meetings for Southern Brave, the head-to-head record suggests outright markets on Welsh Fire at this venue may require a meaningful price differential to represent editorial interest.

For editorial context only. Not a forecast and not betting advice. 18+ only, please gamble responsibly.

Questions

Frequently asked

Southern Brave won by 4 runs at Sophia Gardens, Cardiff. Brave posted 129/8 and Welsh Fire fell short on 125/8 despite a fast start to their chase.

HWR Cartwright was named Player of the Match. He contributed to Brave's ability to defend what was a below-par total on a ground where teams have averaged 173 batting first.

Southern Brave have won 8 of the 10 meetings between the sides. Welsh Fire have one win and one match ended with no result. Brave have won their last three completed fixtures against Welsh Fire.

The Hundred is broadcast in the UK on Sky Sports Cricket and BBC Two, with live streaming available via Sky Go and the BBC iPlayer. BBC Radio Test Match Special also covers selected fixtures.

Southern Brave struggled early, scoring only 19 runs and losing 2 wickets in their powerplay. Welsh Fire's chase began far more aggressively with 50 runs in the powerplay, above Sophia Gardens' average of 46, but they could not sustain that momentum.

Across 136 matches at the ground, the average first-innings score is 173. Southern Brave's 129/8 was therefore well below par, making their 4-run victory over Welsh Fire all the more notable.

Back to league

The Hundred

All fixtures, results and standings for the current season.

The Hundred hub

Sport

Cricket

Coverage, competitions and editorial for every cricket fixture we follow.

Cricket hub

Compare

UK bookmakers

Independent ratings of every UK-licensed operator we cover.

Bookmakers
Photo credits (1)