LUCKYSPIRE
The HundredResult

The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Thursday, 28 August 2025

Southern Brave won by 4 runsPlayer of the match: C Overton

Match preview

Southern Brave hold their nerve to beat Welsh Fire by 4 runs at The Rose Bowl

Match overview

Southern Brave beat Welsh Fire by 4 runs at The Rose Bowl on 28 August 2025, in one of the tighter finishes of this year's Hundred. Brave batted first and posted 167/7, losing wickets in clusters but scoring 90 runs in the middle phase to build a defendable total. Welsh Fire gave themselves a chance with 44 runs in the final phase of their innings, but having stumbled to 31/3 in the powerplay, they were always chasing the game. C Overton took the Player of the Match award as Brave held their nerve.

The match followed a pattern familiar to anyone who has watched this fixture: close, decided in the finer margins, and ending with Brave on the right side of the result. They have now won 8 of their 10 meetings with Welsh Fire, including both of the matches decided by fewer than 5 runs. Welsh Fire's lone victory in this rivalry feels increasingly distant.

Both sides came in having won just twice in their last five matches. For Brave, this win. Their second against Fire in 2025. At least ends a run of four consecutive defeats. Fire, meanwhile, drop to 2 wins from their last five as well.

Venue and conditions

The Rose Bowl has hosted 148 matches in its warehouse of records, producing an average first-innings score of 186 and an average second-innings score of 161. Welsh Fire's decision to field after winning the toss placed them in the structurally harder position: chases succeed here only 47 per cent of the time. Teams winning the toss choose to field on 52 per cent of occasions, which suggests the conventional wisdom still leans that way, but the numbers don't fully support it.

The powerplay context matters here. The ground's average powerplay contribution is 43 runs. Brave scored 37 in theirs, which was below average, but Fire managed just 31 before losing 3 wickets. That 6-run deficit in the powerplay, against a lower scoring Brave side, proved decisive. Both teams performed similarly in the middle overs. 90 runs for Brave, 88 for Fire. So the match turned on those first 25 balls.

Death bowling tends to be expensive at The Rose Bowl, with an average of 36 runs in the final phase. Welsh Fire exceeded that with 44, showing they can finish hard, but they left themselves too much to do.

How to watch

The Hundred is broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Cricket, with streaming available through Sky Go and NOW TV for subscribers. The BBC holds a free-to-air arrangement for selected fixtures, with those matches available on BBC Two and BBC iPlayer. Check the BBC Sport website for their broadcast schedule across the competition.

For highlights and match replays, both the Sky Sports and BBC Sport apps carry same-day content.

Recent form

Southern Brave arrive at this result on the back of a difficult run: four defeats in their previous five matches, including losses to London Spirit, Oval Invincibles, Trent Rockets, and Northern Superchargers. Their only win in that stretch was this fixture against Welsh Fire earlier in 2025. A second win over Fire gives them something to build on, but their form elsewhere in the competition has been inconsistent.

Welsh Fire's recent record tells a similar story. They won back-to-back matches against Birmingham Phoenix and Manchester Originals to show they can compete, but they have lost to Trent Rockets, Oval Invincibles, and now Southern Brave twice in 2025. Their powerplay frailty is a recurring thread: losing 3 wickets inside the opening phase of a chase, as they did here, has undermined several of their run-chases this season. Until that issue is addressed, they will continue to leave themselves with too much to do in the later overs.

Talking points

What to look out for

5 angles

Headline angle

Brave survive a nervy finish to win by 4 runs

Southern Brave posted 167/7 and Welsh Fire came agonisingly close, finishing on 163/6. The 4-run margin was the slimmest victory in this fixture since Brave won by 2 runs at The Rose Bowl in 2023. C Overton's performance earned him the Player of the Match award.

Angle 02

Welsh Fire's powerplay cost them the match

Welsh Fire lost 3 wickets in the powerplay for just 31 runs, well below the venue's average of 43 powerplay runs across 148 matches. Southern Brave managed 37 in their powerplay but also lost 3 wickets, meaning the middle overs became decisive for both sides.

Angle 03

Middle overs settled both innings

Both teams scored heavily in the middle phase: Brave made 90 runs for 2 wickets, while Fire hit 88 for just 1. That near-identical output meant the match was effectively decided by what happened either side of it, and the Brave's cleaner powerplay effort proved the difference.

Angle 04

Southern Brave's head-to-head record is extraordinary

Brave have now won 8 of their 10 meetings with Welsh Fire, including the last four completed fixtures. The only Welsh Fire victory in this rivalry came in one of those 10 matches; there was also one no-result.

Angle 05

Rose Bowl conditions tilted towards the first innings

The venue's average first-innings score across 148 matches is 186, compared with a 161 average for the side batting second. The chase success rate here sits at 47 per cent, which meant Welsh Fire faced a slight structural disadvantage from the moment they chose to field.

Context

Key insights

Historical · Not official

Venue par

186

Avg 1st innings score at Rose Bowl

148 matches · 2003–2025

Chase success

47%

Chases completed successfully at Rose Bowl

148 matches · 2003–2025

Powerplay

45/1.4

Average runs/wickets in overs 1–6 at Rose Bowl

Historical aggregates derived from Cricsheet (cricsheet.org) under ODC-BY licence. 2001/02–2026 IPL seasons. For editorial context only — not official live match data, not a forecast, and not betting advice. Projections and comparisons above are frozen from the live state and may not match final statistics.

The rivalry

Who could decide it

Southern Brave have been thoroughly dominant in this rivalry. Across 10 meetings, they hold 8 wins to Welsh Fire's 1, with 1 no-result. That record includes victories by margins as narrow as 2 runs and as wide as 42 runs, suggesting Brave have found ways to win regardless of how tight the match becomes.

Recent meetings

Last 5
  • 2025: Southern Brave won by 4 runs at Sophia Gardens
  • 2024: No result at The Rose Bowl
  • 2024: Southern Brave won by 42 runs at Sophia Gardens
  • 2023: Southern Brave won by 9 wickets at Sophia Gardens
  • 2023: Southern Brave won by 2 runs at The Rose Bowl

Angles to watch

Analytical angles worth tracking

Observations from the venue data, recent form and historical trends. Editorial context, not betting advice.

  • Top batter markets may be worth monitoring given how heavily the middle overs influenced both innings: both sides scored 88-90 runs in that phase, suggesting batter-friendly conditions once the powerplay pressure eases.
  • The Rose Bowl's 47 per cent chase success rate historically tilts first-innings advantage markets slightly towards the side batting first, which is worth bearing in mind for toss-related lines.
  • Welsh Fire's powerplay record in this fixture. 31 runs for 3 wickets versus a venue average of 43. Could make top-wicket-taker markets more active in the opening phase.
  • Given how many close finishes this rivalry has produced, including two wins by fewer than 5 runs, match margin markets may reflect a wider range of outcomes than the head-to-head record alone implies.

For editorial context only. Not a forecast and not betting advice. 18+ only, please gamble responsibly.

Questions

Frequently asked

Southern Brave won by 4 runs at The Rose Bowl in Southampton. They posted 167/7 batting first, and Welsh Fire fell just short on 163/6 in their 100 balls.

C Overton was named Player of the Match for his contribution to Southern Brave's 4-run victory at The Rose Bowl on 28 August 2025.

Southern Brave hold a dominant 8-1 advantage across 10 meetings, with 1 no-result. Their last four completed matches have all ended in Brave victories, including two wins by narrow margins of 2 and 4 runs.

The Hundred is broadcast live on Sky Sports Cricket in the UK, with streaming available via Sky Go and NOW TV. BBC Two and iPlayer carry selected matches as part of the BBC's free-to-air coverage arrangement.

Across 148 matches at The Rose Bowl in Southampton, the average first-innings score is 186 and the average second-innings score is 161. The average powerplay contribution is 43 runs, and the chase success rate stands at 47 per cent.

Welsh Fire won the toss and chose to field. That decision placed them in the chasing position at a ground where only 47 per cent of chases succeed historically. Brave's 167/7 proved just enough, with Fire finishing 4 runs short on 163/6.

Back to league

The Hundred

All fixtures, results and standings for the current season.

The Hundred hub

Sport

Cricket

Coverage, competitions and editorial for every cricket fixture we follow.

Cricket hub

Compare

UK bookmakers

Independent ratings of every UK-licensed operator we cover.

Bookmakers
Photo credits (1)
  • Moeen Ali — photo by www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia, CC BY 2.0 · source